Thanks very much, Bob, for that
kind introduction. This is quite a conference. A true master
class in air, space and cyberspace issues. I can see by the
number of people, the number of uniforms in the audience, I now
have an explanation for why the halls of the Pentagon have been
deserted the last day or so.
Before I turn to the topic
of the conference, let me say a word about the operations in
Haiti. The stories of our relief efforts emerging from Haiti
should make us all proud. From the forward air controllers who
started working from folding tables and chairs to bring order to
air operations, to the Haitian-Americans serving in our armed
forces who have found new uses for their native Creole language,
to all the soldiers, sailors, airmen, marines and coast
guardsmen working in difficult conditions to successfully
deliver aid.
As of this morning, more than 13,000 U.S.
service members are assisting the relief effort. About 10,000 on
ships off-shore and about 3,000 ashore. These forces, together
with their international counterparts and the government of
Haiti are helping make a desperate situation a little less
desperate each day.
As we speak, they’re delivering
43,000 hand-held radios, working to reopen the port, and
unloading cargo from more than 150 aircraft a day.
We
are going to be there to see Haiti through to recovery, and as
the President has made clear, we will render assistance as long
as it is needed.
Let me now turn to the subject of
today’s conference. We meet at a time when the Air Force is
making critical contributions on many fronts. To the mission in
Haiti and other humanitarian efforts around the world, to our
effort in Iraq and Afghanistan, and to the security challenges
of tomorrow. So it’s appropriate that we take two days to
consider air, space, and cyberspace in the 21st Century. These
three domains will be critical to our defense.
What I
thought I’d do this morning is briefly share some thoughts on
aerospace and space, but then I’d like to pivot and spend the
bulk of my time talking about the newest domain, the cyber
domain.
Our most important air and space mission is
supporting our troops and those of our allies on the front
lines. More than 100,000 of them wake up each morning in the
Islamic Republic of Afghanistan. Tens of thousands more rise in
Iraq. Our battlefield success in Afghanistan is to a great
degree underwritten by aviation and space platforms. In a
land-locked nation with few workable roads, helicopter lift and
cargo aircraft provide food, fuel and maneuver support. Combat
air patrols and search and rescue teams watch over our troops
day and night. Our offense against the Taliban and al-Qaida
depends on air power. Because of a significant investment in
intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance, commanders
receive actionable intelligence in minutes rather than hours.
And unmanned aircraft now combine surveillance with new attack
capabilities.
Many of these systems did not exist when
the fight in Afghanistan began. Thanks to the leadership of
Secretary Gates, we are making a major investment in their
development, and we are surging those systems into theater. This
is one area where lessons learned in combat are driving
immediate institutional change and new budget priorities.
The Air Force for the first time has graduated more pilots
of unmanned aerial vehicles than of fighters and bombers, and
it’s training more analysts to analyze video feeds from drones.
The rapid fielding of unmanned aerial systems is one of many
shifts we’ve taken across the department to focus our resources
on the wars we are fighting and the new threats that we face.
This change has not come easily. Institutional change
never does. But as President Obama has made clear, it’s time to
break out of “conventional thinking that has failed to keep pace
with unconventional threats”.
Of course the terrorist
threat emanating from Afghanistan is not our only security
challenge. The difficulty of this moment in time is succeeding
where our troops are engaged without losing sight of the other
threats we face and will face in the years to come.
The
nature of war is changing in important ways. Conflicts are now
of longer duration. Already we have been fighting in Afghanistan
for longer than we fought in the 1st and 2nd World Wars
combined. And our dominance in conventional warfare has led
adversaries to seek new avenues to challenge us, particularly
asymmetric and anti-access tactics.
Low end actors have
access to high end capabilities. Insurgents wield IEDs that
penetrate even the most heavily defended armor. Terrorists and
rogue nations are seeking weapons of mass destruction.
In view of these changes, four overriding imperatives emerge in
space and aerospace.
The first is to continue
redirecting resources to defeat unconventional threats,
including the full institutionalization of our ability to fight
irregular wars. The second is the need to maintain our air
superiority by investing in fourth and fifth generation tactical
aircraft. No American ground soldier has been lost because of
enemy air attacks since 1953. Although our strength in air and
space far exceeds our competitors at present, the emergence of
modern air defenses threaten the advantages that we have
accrued.
Using readily available technology, potential
adversaries are improving radars, sensors, jammers and weapons.
To give our air and ground forces the freedom of movement that
air superiority underwrites, we are heavily investing in the
F-35. Indeed, a successful Joint Strike Fighter is at the heart
of our continued air superiority. With more than 3,000 aircraft
to be manufactured for us and for our allies, the Joint Strike
Fighter represents a major investment in the future of air
power.
This investment insures superiority against
potential adversaries well into the foreseeable future. The U.S.
is projected to have more than a thousand F-22s and F-35s before
China fields its first fifth generation fighter.
Our
third priority in aerospace is developing a next generation
long-range strike capability. The ability to confront threats
deep in enemy territory has always been a strategic priority for
the Air Force. The long-range strike mission today is more
fraught with challenges than it has been in memory. We’re
learning there is not a single solution to our needs, so we will
be maturing a portfolio of capabilities—-manned and unmanned,
penetrating and standoff, ballistic and cruise. By working
together, these new technologies will preserve our ability to
swiftly and accurately confront threats to our security.
Our fourth priority is to ensure access to space and the use
of our space-based assets. Space, much like cyberspace, is no
longer a domain left uncontested by potential adversaries, so to
protect our technological advantage in space-based platforms we
must reduce their vulnerability to attack and to disruption.
The ability to rapidly augment our capabilities and to
reconstitute them in the event of a successful attack will be a
key tenet of our strategy going forward.
This balancing
act between maintaining current programs and developing future
capabilities is not easy to manage. And it is especially
difficult in air and space, where decisions taken today will
have consequences for how the force is equipped five, ten and
fifteen years into the future. But we have to do it.
We
have a Secretary who grasps this. He is committed to making the
difficult judgments that are needed. This was evident in the
FY10 budget, and it will be equally true in the FY11 budget that
we’ll release next week.
Our criteria for exercising
program discipline are clear. Programs that are performing
poorly--either over budget, behind schedule, or delivering less
capability than promised--open themselves up to reconsideration.
Programs that offer admittedly elegant capabilities, but
at too high a price or in too small of a niche area, are also
ripe for reshaping. And programs that provide capabilities we
already have enough of will be supplanted by others that help us
meet new threats in new ways.
The bottom line is that by
exercising program discipline we’re becoming a better and more
capable department.
In the aggregate, these tough
decisions enhance our ability to protect the American people. In
the heat of the budget debate, we must never lose sight of that
bigger picture.
In that bigger picture, one threat has
particularly captured my attention. I’m often asked what keeps
me up at night. Number one the cyber threat. If we don’t
maintain our capabilities to defend our networks in the face of
an attack, the consequences for our military and indeed for our
whole national security could be dire.
To give you a
sense of how difficult cyber attacks can be, I want to take us
through one actual cyber intrusion. This particular incident
started when warning flags appeared on Air Force computers.
Unauthorized activity was detected at Andrews Air Force Base and
soon thereafter in half a dozen networks across the country. The
attacks were coordinated and aimed at crucial military systems.
The threat was so serious that the President was briefed.
Investigators at first had no idea where the attack was coming
from, but soon they discovered a cyber trail that stretched
halfway around the world to compromised computers on three
continents. Eventually they traced the origin of the attack to a
commercial service provider in California and a server in the
Middle East. The attackers were exploiting a vulnerability in
the Unix operating system. The security flaw was known, but
defensive measures had not yet been put in place. This left
unguarded a back door to DoD’s computers.
The good news
is our law enforcement agencies and intelligence services
stopped the attack within a week. The instigators turned out to
be two teenaged hackers from California who had the help of an
experienced cyber criminal. They were arrested and tried on
charges of computer assault. Some of those in this room helped
solve this incident, which came known as Solar Sunrise.
The bad news is that this intrusion happened in 1998 and it’s
child’s play compared to what’s happening today. Over the past
ten years the frequency and sophistication of attacks have
increased exponentially. Our networks are under threat every
hour of every day. They are probed thousands of times a day.
They are scanned millions of time a day. And we have not always
been so successful in stopping intrusions or determining where
they come from.
Cyber is an especially asymmetric
technology. The low cost of computing devices means that our
adversaries don’t have to build an expensive weapon system, like
a fifth generation fighter, to pose a disproportionate threat.
Knowing this, many militaries are developing offensive cyber
capabilities, and more than 100 foreign intelligence
organizations are trying to break into U.S. systems. Some
governments already have the capacity to disrupt elements of the
U.S. information infrastructure.
We recently caught a
glimpse of what cyber war might look like. When Russian tanks
rumbled into Georgia, cyber attacks simultaneously crippled
Georgian web sites.
But cyber attacks are not limited to
the battlefield. Organized criminal groups and individual
hackers are building global networks of compromised computers.
These BotNets are becoming instruments of cyber crime. Our
financial system and our critical infrastructure are at risk.
Sustained power outages and breakdowns in our transportation
system could lead to physical damage and economic disruption.
Nor are our networks impervious to espionage and theft
of our commercial information, as Google and 33 other companies
discovered last week. The Library of Congress holds more
scholarly material than has ever been brought together in all of
history, yet an amount of intellectual property many times
larger is being stolen each year from networks maintained by
U.S. businesses, universities and government agencies.
Not even the President has been spared. During the presidential
campaign in 2008, hackers gained access to campaign files of
both Barack Obama and John McCain. Policy papers, travel plans,
and sensitive emails were all compromised. The intrusion was
eventually detected and repelled, but not before sensitive
information was taken.
For all these reasons the
President has called the cyber threat one of the “most serious
economic and national security challenges we face as a nation.”
Because of the seriousness of this threat, the Defense
Department has formally recognized cyberspace for what it is -–
a domain similar to land, sea, air and space. A domain that we
depend upon and must protect.
It’s the only one of the
domains that is manmade, but it’s just as critical as the
others. Just as our economy and our national security depend
upon freedom of navigation of the seas, they also require
freedom of movement on-line.
Over the past ten years we
have built layered and robust cyber defenses. We began by
developing the capability to detect and mitigate cyber
intrusions. To spearhead our efforts we stood up the Joint Task
Force Global Network Operations, an arm of STRATCOM co-located
at the Defense Information Systems Agency, and we also stood up
the Joint Functional Component Command Network Warfare, another
arm of STRATCOM co-located with the National Security Agency.
The former defended our global military networks; the latter
applied NSA capabilities on signal intelligence and information
assurance to address cyber threats.
Through these
efforts new capabilities to secure our networks gradually came
on-line. We deployed host-based security services, intrusion
detection systems, network mapping and visualization software
which helped us hunt on our own networks.
Our defenses
need to be dynamic. A fortress mentality will not work in cyber.
We cannot retreat behind a Maginot line of firewalls. Cyber war
is much more like maneuver warfare, and these new technologies
help us find and neutralize intrusions. But we must also keep
maneuvering. If we stand still for a minute our adversaries will
overtake us.
The task is enormous. All told, our
department operates 15,000 networks across 4,000 installations
in 88 countries. We use more than 7 million computer devices. It
takes 90,000 personnel and billions of dollars annually to
administer, monitor and defend those networks. And yet the cyber
threat continues to grow.
To combat it we need the
military and intelligence community to unify their efforts. At
present, military cyber capabilities are spread too far and too
wide, both geographically and institutionally, to be completely
effective. The scale of the enterprise has outgrown current
structures, placing our cyber advantage at risk.
To
ensure our network administrators can support our operational
needs, we must pull together the activities of our military
services. We need more than a patchwork quilt of joint task
forces and functional components. We need the level of
resources, stature and global reach that a four-star command can
bring. We need to institutionalize what has been ad hoc,
continually evolving solutions that build off each other but
never quite become greater than the sum of their parts.
In June, Secretary Gates approved a new Cyber Command as a
sub-unified command of STRATCOM. Cyber Command will be based at
Fort Meade where it will benefit from the tremendous expertise
of the National Security Agency. The President has nominated NSA
Director Lieutenant General Keith Alexander to head the command,
thereby combining the leadership for NSA and Cyber Command into
one dual-hatted position.
Cyber Command will bring
together more than half a dozen intelligence and military
organizations in support of three overlapping categories of
cyber operations.
First, CYBERCOM will lead the day to
day defense and protection of all DoD networks, raising our
situational awareness and control.
Second, CYBERCOM will
coordinate all DoD network operations providing full spectrum
support to military and counter-terrorism missions.
Third, CYBERCOM will stand by to support civil authorities and
industry partners on an as-needed basis.
Combining
offensive and defensive capabilities under a single roof and
bringing those together with the intelligence we need to
anticipate attacks will make our cyber operations more
effective. This linkage among offense, defense and intelligence
is particularly important in cyber because the capability to
repel attackers is closely tied to the ability to identify
threats and anticipate intrusions.
CYBERCOM will also
help develop threat conditions that calibrate our defenses in
peacetime, crises, and war. Like the DEFCON system that we have
for nuclear war, CYBERCON levels will help us determine when we
raise and lower our defenses.
At the same time, each
service will have a component command working in support of
CYBERCOM. The Army’s Network Enterprise Technology Command in
Arizona; the Navy’s 10th Fleet Cyber Command; and the 24th Air
Force will all supply personnel to CYBERCOM and help implement
its directives across the force.
While CYBERCOM ensures
that our capabilities and force structures are aligned with the
National Military Strategy and coordinated with other government
agencies, the component commands will make cyber a regular part
of training and equipping the force. And to ensure all DoD cyber
operations are unified under a single leader, a chain of command
with clear legal lines will run from CYBERCOM to units around
the world.
With CYBERCOM the progress we are now making
is significant. However, there are still areas in which we need
to take action. The challenges ahead in many ways are as
conceptual as they are technical. For example, we need to
examine how concepts of deterrence apply to the cyber domain.
Nuclear deterrence has always relied on identifying
attackers. This is not a problem with missiles. They come
effectively with a return address. But in the cyber world it’s
often very difficult to identify the origin of an attack. Even
if it is identified quickly, cyber attackers may not have assets
that we can strike back at. Shutting down a server that’s stolen
from someone who’s not even witting of it is not an effective
deterrent. For these reasons the Cold War model of nuclear
deterrence does not wholly apply to cyber.
But there are
continuities with established paradigms of deterrence and
defense. For instance, we can enhance our defenses by working
with our allies. International cooperation is imperative for
establishing the chain of events to an intrusion. In this way
the construct of shared warning applies to cyberspace. Just as
our air defenses are linked with those of our allies to provide
warning of an airborne attack, so too can we cooperatively
monitor our computer networks.
This year I will be
working to deep our cyber cooperation with many of our allies.
The internet has turned the world into a digital
community. Each member now has a role in keeping the
neighborhood safe. But working with other nations raises still
more questions about how cyber attacks affect the legal
framework for conflict.
For instance, what role does
sovereignty play when computer networks cross multiple borders?
How do we distinguish between a hacker’s exploits, criminal
activity, espionage, and an attack on the nation? When exactly
is a cyber attack an act of war? What kind of response to an
attack is appropriate, proportional and justified? And defending
against cyber threats is made even more complex by the fact that
the cyber domain is largely owned by private entities.
We are starting to get our arms around how we organize the
government to assist the private sector. Doing so will require
overcoming a mismatch of capabilities and authorities. The
Department of Homeland Security appropriately has the lead to
protect the dot-gov world, but ten years of concerted investment
on the military side has placed much of our cyber defense
capabilities within DoD and the intelligence agencies. So at
present, using government tools to protect private sector
networks and the dot-gov networks entails cross-agency
collaboration. How we align agency capabilities with our
national cyber objectives is a difficult problem and it’s not
yet been fully solved.
Using government tools to protect
private networks also raises difficult practical questions.
Making networks safer will ultimately require pushing down
software that can detect patterns of threatening activity to a
large number of users, but attack vectors and signatures of
cyber threats are often classified.
We need to think
imaginatively about how government technologies can help secure
a space on the internet for critical commercial and
infrastructure applications. For example, could we create a
secure architecture for the dot-com world that lets private
parties opt in to government protection?
How the private
sector will organize itself to defend against the cyber threat
is also unresolved. Existing technologies can thwart a majority
of cyber attacks, but defenses are expensive and burdensome.
Although many industries have made a major investment in
defensive capabilities, not everyone is able to make that kind
of investment. How do we put in place the appropriate incentives
to motivate private investment in cyber defenses?
So in
the cyber domain we face enormous foundational challenges. We
must not only develop a military doctrine for protecting our
networks, we must also decide how our government as a whole will
leverage its capabilities to defend our country and our economy.
At DoD we’re working hard on the doctrinal issues and on
developing the capacity to thwart attacks, but much of this
effort requires collaboration with other parts of the
government, with the private sector, and with our allies.
We’re working closely with the White House and the
Department of Homeland Security to work through these issues.
The White House has just named Howard Schmidt as the White House
Cyber Coordinator and he will be leading the National Security
Council’s effort to organize the government’s cyber activities.
As you can see, I have a lot to think about when I wake
up at night, but all of us do.
Although the challenges
we face in cyber seem daunting, it is useful to remember that
with cyber we are only at the beginning of a new technological
age. At this early hour our greatest strength is our awareness
of the transformation happening around us. Our predicament calls
to mind a letter urgently written to President Roosevelt on the
eve of another technological effort. On August 2, 1939, he
received a letter that said, “Aspects of the situation which has
arisen seem to call for watchfulness, and if necessary quick
action on the part of the administration. I believe, therefore,
that it is my duty to bring to your attention the following
facts…and to put forward recommendation for government action.”
The letter was signed, “Yours Truly, Albert Einstein.”
It was Einstein’s warning to Roosevelt that breakthroughs in
nuclear fission might make possible an atomic bomb.
The
letter led Roosevelt to launch the Manhattan Project, which
ultimately helped end a world war.
The cyber threat does
not have the existential implications ushered in by the nuclear
age, but there are some important similarities. In the military
arena, cyber attacks offer a means for potential adversaries to
overcome our overwhelming advantages in conventional military
operations. Perhaps more strikingly, cyber attacks pose a
serious danger to critical aspects of our civilian
infrastructure. They may not cause the mass casualties of a
nuclear strike, but cyber attacks could wreak havoc on our
financial system, our power grid, and our transportation
network. And over time the systematic penetration of our
universities and businesses could rob us of maybe our most
significant source of strength, our intellectual property.
It is now upon us to devise an effective defense before our
adversaries act further against us. We must make the cyber
domain safe so that revolutionary innovations can be used
without fear of endangering our national security.
With
that, I’m happy to take your questions.