| The Future of the Air Force: A View
from the Top by Jack Spencer
and Kathy Gudgel
Heritage Foundation
WebMemo #760
June 14, 2005
How should the Air Force be transformed to maximize its efficiency
and effectiveness? In 2004, the Air Force issued its U.S. Air Force
Transformation Flight Plan, a major document that specifically
addressed important issues of transformation, such as business
practices, capabilities, and service culture.[1] As the Air Force
prepares for the 2005 Quadrennial Defense Review (QDR), there will
be even more strategic and programmatic decisions to be made.
In a recent lecture at The Heritage Foundation, General John P.
Jumper, Chief of Staff of the U.S. Air Force, outlined the
challenges that the Air Force faces as it enters the 21st century.
Agility is a Key to the Future
Looking back to the 1980s, the U.S. defense establishment had no
inkling of the threats that Slobodan Milosevic, Saddam Hussein, and
Osama Bin Laden posed. It was not possible to predict that the whole
decade of the 1990s—not to mention the new century, to the
present—would be dominated by these adversaries and by new kinds of
conflicts for the U.S. military.
One of the main lessons to take from recent history is that agility
is a cornerstone of success. As the U.S. military undertook
Operation Desert Storm, it was still a cumbersome, Cold War-driven
force. Planning still centered on a European or a Korean conflict.
Although the U.S. military was successful in Operation Desert Storm,
Operation Allied Force, and Operation Vigilant Warrior, there was
still little agility, and military leadership knew that it had to do
better. Since 1994, senior Air Force leadership has supported a
major shift in the Air Force’s culture to enhance agility,
strengthen contingency forces, and transform the ability to respond
to any crisis that could arise globally.
Part of this transformation effort is the focus on future force
structure, to include more integration of the Air National Guard and
Air Reserve in today’s missions. Guard units have responded to this
by mixing more, on a day-to-day basis, with active duty units and
being better prepared for high-demand missions. Also, procurement is
an important part of transformation equation. Unfortunately, it has
reached the point where individual systems cost so much that each
one is reduced to a niche capability. A variety of factors such as
confidence of suppliers, requirements of the program, and
competition in industry affect this. However, it is not just the
procurement system, but business that must be influenced by the new
culture emerging in the Air Force.
Transforming the Mindset
Transformation is as much about how the military thinks as what it
buys. A big part of the force that any service has in place today
will still be around 15 years from now, and so it is necessary to
pay as much attention to integrating current assets as to replacing
or acquiring new assets. There is an ongoing shift from
concentration on platforms and systems to effects-based thinking.
This means starting with operations and thinking more about how
forces will fight than what they are going to fight with and what is
going to be purchased. Cultural and bureaucratic roadblocks hamper
this new thinking. Rivalries between the services can affect the
service itself, the joint force, and coalition forces. Part of the
problem is that the Air Force, in general, does not always clearly
ask for the assets or systems that it needs (for instance, computer
systems) and then must deal with the resultant inefficiencies.
Other problems are more cultural and bureaucratic. There are many
areas where the senior leadership of the Air Force is trying to
encourage people to move beyond the status quo and develop new ideas
for the future:
Intelligence: What good is intelligence that is too classified to be
used by the pilots who need it? For Operation Iraqi Freedom, the Air
Force integrated the intelligence/imagery officer into the air
operations center and put space assets into the real-time fight.
This improved effectiveness to an amazing degree.
Tankers: Why should tankers, which operate close to the front lines
and have sufficient space, not carry additional capabilities for
communications, electronic sensing, and signal intelligence? This
has nothing do with “gold-plating” the airplane or getting away from
its primary refueling mission, but everything to do with exploiting
a great asset. The effort is still underway to get thinking on
tankers aligned with the effects-based way that the Air Force plans
to fight.
Unmanned Aerial Vehicles: What good does a UAV do if the
intelligence that it gathers cannot be communicated quickly to
nearby air assets because of the division between “intelligence” and
“operational” channels? The Air Force has finally had some success
in enhancing Predator capabilities and overcoming this bureaucratic
stovepipe.
B-52s: In Afghanistan, the situation developed where someone on the
ground (on a horse) communicated data through a laptop to a B-52,
which then released a GPS guided bomb. The B-52 is now doing
precision bombing that it was never designed for. This is a good
example of how old things must be used in new ways to support
effects-based thinking.
Convoys: If it is too dangerous in Iraq for convoys, due to road
bombs, how can those trucks be taken off the road? Can the material
be moved by air? Organizational disconnects between the Air Force
and the Army are being addressed, and collaborative efforts
improved. Senior leaders have found that the collaborative spirit
being pursued at higher echelons is already taking place on the
ground, through the personal initiative of combat officers.
Near Space: This area, between the upper limits of flight and the
lowest altitude that a satellite can orbit, falls between two
traditional areas of interest. However, near space exploitation can
offer tremendous benefits and must be explored. Research is now
underway on how to leverage orbiting platforms with high earth
platforms to achieve the best results.
Finally, General Jumper reiterated that despite all the technology,
people remain the most important resource of the Air Force. The
United States should be proud of the pride, discipline, and
dedication of its airmen. |